The main finding
In one sentence: In 2749 adults with type 2 diabetes and heart or kidney disease, followed for a median of 2 years, major heart events happened in 4.2% of people on the orforglipron pill and 5.0% of people on insulin glargine, which met the trial's test for being no worse than insulin.
Group averages, not an individual prediction. A trial result describes what happened to a defined group over a defined time.
On this page
Why this study matters
As of October 2026, orforglipron is not authorized in Canada, and this study is research for Canadian readers. Health Canada has been reviewing it since January 2026. The US FDA approved it on 1 April 2026 as Foundayo for weight management. Orforglipron is a GLP-1 receptor agonist taken as a daily pill. It is a small molecule, not a peptide (a protein-like molecule). The authors note that the heart safety of non-peptide GLP-1 medicines like orforglipron had not been studied before. ACHIEVE-4 was designed to check that orforglipron does not raise the risk of heart attacks, strokes and related events in people at higher risk.
Who was in the study
The trial randomized 2749 adults at 317 sites in 16 countries and territories. Everyone had type 2 diabetes, an HbA1c between 7.0% and 10.5%, and a BMI of 25 or higher. HbA1c is a blood test that reflects average blood sugar over the past few months. BMI, or body mass index, is weight in kilograms divided by height in metres squared. Everyone was taking up to three diabetes medicines (metformin, a sulfonylurea or an SGLT2 inhibitor) and had established heart or blood vessel disease or chronic kidney disease.
Of the 2749 people, 1032 (38%) were female and 1717 (62.5%) were male. In all, 2362 (85.9%) had heart or blood vessel disease and 1033 (37.6%) had chronic kidney disease. The average age was 63.1 years, the average HbA1c was 8.2% and the average BMI was 33.
What the researchers did
People were randomized, meaning assigned by chance, in equal numbers to one of two treatments. One group took orforglipron by mouth once a day, at the highest dose they could tolerate, up to 36 mg as a capsule (which the authors say is equivalent to a 17.2 mg tablet). The other group injected insulin glargine, a long-acting insulin, once a day, with the dose adjusted over time. The trial was open-label, meaning everyone knew which treatment they were getting. It was event-driven, meaning it continued until a set number of heart events had happened.
The main result was the time until a first major heart event, called MACE-4. This counted death from heart or blood vessel causes, a non-fatal heart attack, a non-fatal stroke, or a hospital stay for unstable angina (chest pain from reduced blood flow to the heart).
This was a non-inferiority trial. Its goal was to show orforglipron is not worse than the comparison, not to show it is better. The result was summed up as a hazard ratio, which compares how often events happened in the two groups over time. A hazard ratio of 1 means no difference. Orforglipron would count as not worse if the top of the 95% confidence interval for the hazard ratio was below 1.8. A confidence interval, or CI, is the range of values the data are reasonably consistent with. The analysis included everyone who took at least one dose, whether or not they kept taking it.
What they found
Over a median follow-up of 2 years, a major heart event happened in 57 of 1358 people (4.2%) on orforglipron and 67 of 1343 people (5.0%) on insulin glargine. The hazard ratio was 0.84 (95% CI 0.59 to 1.20). The top of that range, 1.20, is below 1.8, so orforglipron met the test for being no worse than insulin glargine (P below 0.0001 for non-inferiority) (R33-C09).
Because the range includes 1, the trial did not show that orforglipron lowered heart events compared with insulin glargine. The published summary we reviewed does not report changes in weight or HbA1c.
Side effects and people who stopped
| Outcome | Orforglipron | Insulin glargine |
|---|---|---|
| Stomach and bowel side effects | 851 of 1371 (62.1%) | 193 of 1355 (14.2%) |
| Significant or severe low blood sugar (below 3 mmol/L) | 93 of 1371 (6.8%) | 260 of 1355 (19.2%) |
| Deaths | 19 of 1371 (1.4%) | 43 of 1355 (3.2%) |
Stomach and bowel side effects were the most common side effects with orforglipron and the most common reason people stopped taking it (R33-C10). Low blood sugar was less common with orforglipron than with insulin glargine. The published summary we reviewed does not give the number of people who stopped treatment.
There were 62 deaths in total. All but one, in the insulin glargine group, were judged unrelated to treatment (R33-C11). The published summary we reviewed does not report a statistical comparison of deaths, so this difference should not be read as a proven benefit.
What this study does not tell you
- The comparison was insulin glargine, not placebo or another GLP-1 medicine, and the trial was open-label, which can affect how side effects are reported.
- The non-inferiority limit of 1.8 was set to rule out a large increase in risk. The result's range, 0.59 to 1.20, still allows for anything from a lower risk to a somewhat higher risk with orforglipron.
- The doses were given as capsules. The authors say the 36 mg capsule is equivalent to a 17.2 mg tablet, so capsule and tablet doses are not labelled the same way.
- Everyone had type 2 diabetes and heart or kidney disease, so the results may not apply to people without diabetes.
- The trial was funded by Eli Lilly and Company, which makes orforglipron, and several authors work for the company.
What it means in Canada
As of October 2026, orforglipron is not authorized in Canada and has been under Health Canada review since January 2026. ACHIEVE-4 adds heart safety evidence in people with type 2 diabetes, but it does not change the Canadian status. You can follow emerging medicines on our medicines page. For medicines available in Canada, see semaglutide in Canada, tirzepatide in Canada and public drug coverage by province.
Common questions
Is orforglipron safe for the heart according to ACHIEVE-4?
Major heart events happened in 4.2% of people on orforglipron and 5.0% on insulin glargine (hazard ratio 0.84, 95% CI 0.59 to 1.20). This met the trial's test for not being worse than insulin glargine, which is not the same as showing a heart benefit.
What side effects were more common with orforglipron than insulin in ACHIEVE-4?
Stomach and bowel side effects were reported in 62.1% of people on orforglipron and 14.2% on insulin glargine. Significant low blood sugar was less common with orforglipron: 6.8% versus 19.2%.
Is orforglipron approved in Canada?
No. As of October 2026, orforglipron is not authorized in Canada and has been under Health Canada review since January 2026. The US FDA approved it as Foundayo for weight management on 1 April 2026.
Related reading
Other studies in this library that bear on the same question.
ATTAIN-2: the orforglipron pill for weight loss in type 2 diabetes
ACHIEVE-1: the orforglipron pill in early type 2 diabetes
ACHIEVE-3: orforglipron versus oral semaglutide in diabetes
Tirzepatide versus insulin glargine in higher-risk diabetes: SURPASS-4
SELECT: semaglutide and heart attack or stroke risk without diabetes
Source
Original paper: Klara R Klein, Emerging evidence: ACHIEVE-4, Lancet (London, England), 2026. PubMed: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/42815506/. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(26)01865-9. Funding: The trial was funded by Eli Lilly and Company, the company that makes orforglipron. How we summarized it: abstract and extracted data.
This page explains a published study. It is not medical advice and does not describe whether a medicine is right for you. Talk to your doctor, nurse practitioner or pharmacist about your own situation. Reviewed and signed by two pharmacists registered in British Columbia, 2026-10-04.
Evidence records behind this page
Each record is a row in the clinical evidence file, taken from the published paper named above. The caution column is the limit the researcher recorded for that number.
This table scrolls sideways.
| Record | What the paper reports | Type | Population | Caution | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R33-C09 | In ACHIEVE-4 (2749 adults with type 2 diabetes and established cardiovascular or chronic kidney disease), MACE-4 occurred in 4.2% (57 of 1358) with orforglipron versus 5.0% (67 of 1343) with insulin glargine over a median 2 years (HR 0.84; 95% CI 0.59 to 1.20), meeting the prespecified non-inferiority margin of 1.8. | direct evidence | Adults with T2D at increased cardiovascular risk, HbA1c 7.0 to 10.5%, BMI at least 25 | Open-label; active comparator is insulin glargine, not placebo or a GLP-1 medicine. Non-inferiority margin 1.8 rules out only a large increase; does not show superiority. Orforglipron given as capsule up to 36 mg (stated equivalent to 17.2 mg tablet). Abstract-only. As of October 2026 orforglipron is not authorized in Canada (under Health Canada review since January 2026); US FDA approved it 2026-04-01 as Foundayo for weight management. | PubMed 42815506 |
| R33-C10 | In ACHIEVE-4, gastrointestinal adverse events were reported in 62.1% with orforglipron versus 14.2% with insulin glargine, while clinically significant or severe hypoglycaemia (glucose below 3 mmol/L) occurred in 6.8% versus 19.2%. | direct evidence | Adults with T2D at increased cardiovascular risk, HbA1c 7.0 to 10.5%, BMI at least 25 | Open-label. Overall and adverse-event discontinuation rates not given numerically in abstract. Comparator insulin is expected to cause hypoglycaemia. Abstract-only. As of October 2026 orforglipron is not authorized in Canada (under Health Canada review since January 2026); US FDA approved it 2026-04-01 as Foundayo for weight management. | PubMed 42815506 |
| R33-C11 | In ACHIEVE-4, 19 deaths (1.4%) occurred with orforglipron and 43 (3.2%) with insulin glargine; all but one (insulin glargine group) were deemed unrelated to treatment. | direct evidence | Adults with T2D at increased cardiovascular risk, HbA1c 7.0 to 10.5%, BMI at least 25 | No statistical comparison of deaths reported in abstract; do not present as a mortality benefit. Abstract-only. As of October 2026 orforglipron is not authorized in Canada (under Health Canada review since January 2026); US FDA approved it 2026-04-01 as Foundayo for weight management. | PubMed 42815506 |